Eventualities: What Scotland and Netherlands have to guide the ultimate World Cup 2023 spot
Zimbabwe’s 31-run defeat to Scotland means they’ll now not qualify for the ODI World Cup in India later this 12 months. That’s as a result of their web run price has fallen to -0.099, largely on account of their heavy defeat against Sri Lanka, after they misplaced with virtually 17 overs to spare.
Zimbabwe had been on six factors with two video games to spare, however they didn’t get these two factors which might have ensured qualification. If Netherlands beat Scotland on Thursday, then all three groups – Zimbabwe, Scotland and Netherlands – will end on six factors.
For Scotland’s run price to drop beneath Zimbabwe’s, they should lose by 83 runs if Netherlands rating 250. However, a win by that margin will raise Netherlands’ NRR to 0.33, which is nicely above that of Zimbabwe’s.
Thus, the main focus now shifts to the Netherlands-Scotland sport, and the consequence margins for these two groups to qualify. A win for Scotland will clearly take them by way of, however even when they lose, they might qualify if the margin of defeat is comparatively small.
If Netherlands rating 250, Scotland can afford to lose by as much as 31 runs to remain forward on web run. A win by 32 or extra runs for Netherlands will raise their NRR above Scotland’s. If Scotland bat first and rating 250, they are going to keep forward on NRR if Netherlands chase it down in round 44.1 overs (relying on how they get their profitable runs). If they chase it down any sooner, then Netherlands will trump Scotland’s run price and take the second qualification spot.