Certain nations are heading in the direction of a “fallout” with the US-led West if they don't extra actively oppose the Russian invasion of Ukraine, specialists have warned. In the most recent United Nations vote on the Russian invasion of Ukraine, in regards to the condemnation of Vladimir Putin’s annexation of 4 areas in japanese Ukraine final September/October, 35 counties abstained from the poll.

While the likes of Belarus, Iran and North Korea are already pariah states explicitly supporting Putin in his “special military operation” in Ukraine, and China is busy navigating its personal rising isolation from the West in its battle to switch the US as the worldwide superpower, dozens of different nations try to rigorously place themselves to play either side of the geopolitical divide.

Africa

Russia's affect on the African continent is historic and reveals no indicators of abating. In Mali, on the continent’s western facet, Wagner Group forces have for years been working alongside the nation’s navy forces to repel Islamic jihadist insurgencies affiliated with Al-Qaeda.

Last month, the interim president of neighbouring Burkina Faso, Ibrahim Traore, described Russia as “a key strategic and military ally” in its personal battle in opposition to extremists, although he denied rumours that Wagner forces are coming to their help.

Their causes for abstaining from condemning the invasion of Ukraine are clear; the worth of Russian navy presence, personal or public, is seen as integral to their very own security.

In the sub-Sahara, South Africa has additionally develop into an outspoken pal of Vladimir Putin, although it has been cautious to not alienate the West.

Earlier this week, their authorities introduced that it might not heed the calls of the International Criminal Court to arrest Vladimir Putin as soon as he touched down of their territory in August this yr for the BRICS summit.

Former US ambassador to Zimbabwe, Charles Ray, stated the transfer had rendered South Africa’s place as a nation enjoying either side “untenable”, including that there'll “be fallout for them doing this”.

Nonetheless, there may be an affinity between the nation’s ruling get together, the African National Congress, the South African navy and the Russian individuals, Mr Ray added.

Many of them had been skilled within the Soviet Union, they learnt their navy commerce alongside the Russians, and so they proceed to host joint naval workouts with them.

In addition, China’s large monetary investments into South Africa, and extra extensively sub-Saharan Africa, to assist construct essential infrastructure, renders lots of the nations reluctant to facet in opposition to Russia, who're main allies with Beijing.

READ MORE: Wagner Group committing unspeakable atrocities all around the world [REVEAL]

Middle East

Outside of Iran, Syria is the one nation to not have voted in favour of Ukraine within the newest UN vote final October. Akin to Iran, nevertheless, they not solely abstained from the vote however actively opposed it.

For over a decade, Vladimir Putin has supported the Bashar Al-Assad Syrian regime in opposition to many western-backed insurgent actions within the area.

While the war-torn nation is incapable of providing any substantial assist again to Russia, and it's being slowly reaccepted again into the Middle Eastern neighborhood, its alliance with Vladimir Putin has been demonstratively purchased.

Central Asia

Known colloquially because the “Stans”, Central Asia consists of Uzbekistan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Kazakhstan and Kyrgyzstan, all of whom maintain financial and social relations with Russia.

Cross-migration between these international locations and Russia has elevated since Putin invaded Ukraine and so they have all abstained from voting in opposition to Russia on the United Nations.

However, all are adhering to Western sanctions in opposition to Russia. The area’s banks don't settle for Russian MIR cost playing cards, for instance, and solely Kazakhstan permits their use by personal people—and solely after getting US approval to take action.

Their relationship with Russia, in addition to with the West, is one which prioritises “economic prosperity” above all else. What’s extra, analysts imagine the longer Russia stays in Ukraine, its navy and home economic system struggling closely, the much less doubtless the “Stans” will really feel the necessity to play either side.