Mortgage hell may spell 'gloomy image' of housing market 'stagnation'

Hellish rates of interest and their affect upon mortgage holders threatens to hit the housing market at each ends, with present householders unable to save lots of for brand spanking new pad and potential first-time patrons delay fully.

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All of that is feared to color an image of looming stagnation throughout the board wherein there aren't any incentives to purchase or promote for the primary time and little room to purchase for a second time.

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While common house prices could have risen within the 12 months to June 2023, costs are considerably decrease than their peak in November 2022 and demand is dwindling, new stats present.

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The current UK House Price Index confirmed the common home costs hit £288,000 in June 2023, which is £5,000 greater than 12 months in the past, however £5,000 beneath November’s peak.

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Andy Russell, CEO of Wealthify commented that whereas these usually are not significantly encouraging statistics general, the discount in costs over the previous few months means that there might be a “degree of hope” for these within the UK seeking to buy a home.

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But, he added: “With mortgage rates still high, affordability is stretched, and many first-time buyers feel like they can’t catch a break.”

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Adrian Lowery, monetary analyst at wealth supervisor Evelyn Partners famous that whereas the ONS index is the “most final and comprehensive” measure of property values, it's “quite backwards” wanting.

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He stated: “It does confirm though that valuation impacts are being felt more keenly in the areas of the UK with the highest house prices – London, the South East, the East and the South West – where buyers are more likely to be dependent on mortgage funding.”

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The North East noticed the very best annual share change of all English areas within the 12 months to June 2023 (4.7 %), whereas London noticed the bottom (unfavourable 0.6 %).

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Mr Lowery stated: “More timely July mortgage approval-based data from Nationwide and Halifax have shown modest monthly falls in house prices and annual reductions of between 2.4 and 3.8 percent.”

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Meanwhile, a current RICS survey of property brokers painted a “gloomy picture” of falling enquiries and gross sales agreed, as the results of upper mortgage charges are beginning to feed via.

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Mr Lowery continued: “The full effects of more expensive home loans have yet to feed through to property values, but it remains to be seen whether the impact will be more profound on sales numbers than on valuations.

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“Prices could certainly moderate at the higher end, as many more families just sit tight rather than upsize, and first-time buyers just go for smaller properties (which evidence is bearing out) – many of which might be coming on the market from retreating landlords.”

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Michelle Niziol, property agent and proprietor of IMS Property Group substantiated this with developments amongst her personal shoppers, telling Express.co.uk: “Clients are not over-stretching themselves, they are being very sensible. First-time buyers are now opting for a one-bed to two-bed property, a few years ago they may have stretched to a three or four-bed with interest rates being so low.”

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Mr Lowery continued: “We could see a decline in both sellers putting properties on the market and home-mover interest - and a concomitant stagnation in house prices rather than a crash, leaving the property market in the doldrums. Such an outcome could be backed up by the continuing ‘less bad than feared’ news on the economy, as growth, jobs and a nascent retreat in inflation – while not cause for celebration - do not yet point towards a huge slump in consumer confidence.”

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Tabitha Cumming, a property professional from The Lease Extension Company, informed Express.co.uk that the variety of mortgages being accepted has fallen and is at present “below the average” that she would usually count on to see.

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Ms Cumming stated: “Rising borrowing costs have proven to be discouraging for many people who were perhaps previously debating buying a home, especially those who are already paying a mortgage on their current home.”

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Additionally, Ms Cumming stated: “There is not enough new housing being built to meet the eventual demands of the growing population, despite how current demand for housing has fallen because of unaffordable mortgage payments.

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“As of right now, many buyers are being priced out of expensive areas and homes in many areas are being sold for below their original asking price. House prices are changing slower than ever before, and are expected to continue to fall due to the rising Base rate and high mortgage rates. If lenders decide to lower their rates, then house prices would potentially be able to recover, but this is unlikely to happen for another few years."

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Mr Russell suggested those who still have some way to go to save up for a deposit may be thinking about where to put their money to get the most out of it. He said: “If you’re planning on buying in the next couple of years, there are some really attractive interest rates out there at the moment on cash savings accounts.

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“However, if you are planning to buy in five or more years, it may be worth considering investing. The level to which inflation can eat into your savings matters less when you are nearly ready to use your deposit, but it can a material difference if you have more than a few years to go.

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“Historically, the financial markets have tended to outperform savings rates over a longer period of time, so investing may be the right option to build up that deposit, protect your money from inflation, and allow it to grow until you are ready to use it to achieve your goal.”

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