In leafy South West Surrey, conventional Tory floor, we're taking the general public temperature.
"It's very hard to vote Conservative at the moment", 49-year-old Penny tells us. "You just can't ignore the last two years".
This is the Chancellor Jeremy Hunt's seat (8,800 majority). Voters listed below are prosperous, home-owning, conventional Conservatives, the type of folks the Tories can not afford to lose; and the topic that comes up many times: mortgages.
"I am just constantly thinking about money now, and it's even worse for the kids," one house owner tells me who now pays £600 extra a month for her mortgage.
PM claims 'we are going to get through this'; follow Politics Hub latest
Speaking to voters on the street for an hour is just not a precise science, however the temper right here has undeniably turned away from Rishi Sunak, in direction of Labour and the Liberal Democrats.
The Labour chief desires to hyperlink the Conservatives, particularly Liz Truss and Kwasi Kwarteng, on to the mortgage drawback.
Today he mentioned the social gathering has "hugely damaged" the financial system and "we haven't had growth for 13 years".
The bother for the prime minister is that message appears to be resonating: there's a weariness, actually in South West Surrey, that folks really feel worse off than they did a decade in the past.
Today the prime minister admitted the street forward will not be simple. He mentioned he desires to be "honest" and "straight-talking". But is he being straight with the general public when he says he'll halve inflation this 12 months?
There are lots who assume that will probably be an enormous problem. But the prime minister put slicing inflation on the centre of his providing to the nation, he mentioned he takes private accountability for hitting that focus on: an announcement he may come to remorse.
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There is actually no simple resolution, and it is not clear Labour have the solutions both: yesterday shadow exchequer secretary Abena Oppong-Asare mentioned they'd work with the regulator and "see if there's a solution" to rising mortgage charges.
The prime minister struck a considerably patronising tone at PMQs this week, suggesting the Labour Party does not perceive "macro-economics", citing the OECD (Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development), OBR (Office for Budget Responsibility) and the IFS (Institute for Fiscal Studies).
The bother is most individuals do not care what these letters stand for, they simply wish to understand how they are going to pay the payments.
Rishi Sunak could also be making an attempt to pitch himself because the economist (he actually seems to be snug speaking about inflation), however his company tone dangers alienating voters.
Speaking to Ikea employees in Dartford at the moment, Mr Sunak did appear extra relaxed, much less technocratic.
He warned of ache forward however requested the general public to bear with him, he mentioned "everything will be okay" and "we will 100% get through this".
A protracted-term promise that will not assist folks anytime quickly.
The chancellor has dominated out direct help for folks with mortgages, for concern of stoking inflation additional, and the prime minister's message at the moment was downbeat. They each know there are troublesome occasions forward.
The query is can the federal government flip gloom into optimism in time for the following election, and can voters be prepared to carry their nerve for promise of higher occasions forward, and belief the Conservatives after 13 years in energy?
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