When the USA arrives in Rome subsequent week to contest the forty fourth Ryder Cup, they'll achieve this with the trophy in hand, on the again of a file victory margin final day out and with a 12-man workforce packed filled with stars. Yet the possibilities of them leaving the Marco Simone Golf & Country membership with the trophy are nonetheless stacked in opposition to them.
That's as a result of no American workforce has received a Ryder Cup on European soil previously 30 years. You must go way back to 1993 to search out their most up-to-date triumph on this facet of the Atlantic - a 15-13 victory on the Belfry, with Tom Watson the captain. He's now 74.
Despite these damning statistics, Luke Donald is all too conscious of the menace that the Americans pose and with three of this yr's 4 Major winners amongst their ranks, the bookies make the USA slight favourites to retain the coveted silverware.
But there is a motive why the Europeans have been so dominant in their very own yard over time and it isn't purely right down to having the perfect gamers. The actual secret to their success is course ways.
There isn't any higher current instance of this than when France's Le Golf National hosted the Ryder Cup in 2018. The Americans have been thought of huge favourites due to the presence of a number of Major-winning stars of their ranks like Tiger Woods, Phil Mickelson, Jordan Speith and Brooks Koepka.
But the European workforce had a plan and once they analysed enormous quantities of information to work out how they anticipated the Americans to play, they set about making numerous alterations to the course that may play to the hosts' benefit.
Ryder Cup guidelines allowed the house workforce to make alterations to the golf course earlier than and through the occasion. With the French Open staged at Le National months earlier than it staged the Ryder Cup, the European workforce was capable of collect lots of information from the occasion that offered an perception into how gamers of various kinds carried out over the 18 holes.
European's pre-Ryder Cup evaluation confirmed that US gamers tended to hit the ball additional off the tee however extra repeatedly missed the fairways. When they did miss, it was usually by round 30 toes. With this knowledge, the European workforce determined to push again the gallery boundary away from the golf green. By doing this, when gamers missed the golf green, as an alternative of with the ability to play from a beneficial lie brought on by the trampling of spectators underfoot, they have been confronted with nightmare pictures out of thick tough.
The sneaky plan labored a deal with, with 4 of the USA's greatest gamers - Woods, Mickelson, Dustin Johnson and Patrick Reed solely profitable two factors out of a attainable 14 over the three days' play.
The European knowledge additionally confirmed that the Americans have been at their greatest once they have been required to play method pictures from inside 125 yards. As a consequence, tee positions have been moved ahead and backward on completely different holes in an try to forestall the guests from touchdown at their splendid distances.
Golf Digest has recommended that transferring the tees backwards on the first and fifteenth holes may very well be one thing that occurs on the Marco Simone course this yr for that very motive, making a slim touchdown zone.
The Euronerds additionally used their spreadsheets in 2018 to work out who ought to tee off on which gap when it got here to foursomes matches. They labored out that the gamers who teed off on even holes may discover themselves hitting the method shot into the greens on the essential 14th, fifteenth, sixteenth and seventeenth holes.
The findings resulted within the par 5 14th being lengthed to play as a three-shot method and the par 3 sixteenth shortened to offer their greatest iron gamers an opportunity to chase birdies. Europe received six factors out of a attainable eight within the foursomes matches earlier than occurring to elevate the Ryder Cup with a complete 17.5-10.5 scoreline.
This yr the European workforce is as soon as once more bolstered by vastly analytical gamers comparable to world No. 4 Viktor Hovland and Englishman Matt Fitzpatrick, so that you might be completely positive that comparable ways can be at play as soon as extra.
The USA's saving grace is {that a} tweak to the principles this time implies that the host workforce can't manipulate the course past this Sunday - 5 days earlier than the motion will get underway.
If Zach Johnson's males are to lastly finish a barren three-decade spell on European soil, they need to hope that the rule change lastly works to their benefit.
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